Upcoming Geomagnetic Storm Could Bring Auroras as Far South as New York and Idaho

New York, Idaho, New York, Idaho United States of America
Best viewing opportunities between 1:00-4:00 EDT on Wednesday, July 24, 2024
G2-level geomagnetic storm forecasted for July 24, 2024
Halo CME erupted on July 21, 2024 and expected to arrive on July 24, 2024
Upcoming geomagnetic storm may cause auroras as far south as New York and Idaho
Upcoming Geomagnetic Storm Could Bring Auroras as Far South as New York and Idaho

A series of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) from the sun have prompted geomagnetic storm watches for the Northern Hemisphere, potentially leading to visible auroras as far south as New York and Idaho. The halo CME, which erupted on July 21, is forecasted to arrive on July 24 and could cause a G2-level geomagnetic storm. This solar activity has been exceptional this year, with the best viewing opportunities occurring in the early hours of Wednesday between 06:00-09:00 Universal Time (1:00-4:00 EDT). For those hoping to catch a glimpse of these natural light displays, it is recommended to check the latest advice from NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center and apps like My Aurora Forecast & Alerts or AuroraWatchUK for exact timings.



Confidence

100%

No Doubts Found At Time Of Publication

Sources

99%

  • Unique Points
    • Northern Lights, also known as the aurora borealis, may become visible in the early hours of Wednesday in northern US states from New York to Idaho.
    • Displays of Northern Lights could be seen over some northern and upper Midwest US states from New York to Idaho between 06:00-09:00 Universal Time on July 24 (1:00-4:00 EDT).
    • Check the latest advice from the NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center for exact timings and recommendations on apps like My Aurora Forecast & Alerts or AuroraWatchUK.
  • Accuracy
    No Contradictions at Time Of Publication
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (95%)
    No formal fallacies found. However, there are several instances of inflammatory rhetoric and appeals to authority.
    • . . . a rare “halo CME.”
    • According to an alert issued on Monday, July 22, by the NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center, displays of Northern Lights could be seen over some northern and upper Midwest U.S. states from New York to Idaho between 06:00-09:00 Universal Time on July 24—that’s 01:00-
    • The “halo CME” is expected to trigger a G2-class geomagnetic storm at that time. This refers to the severity of the storm, which also affects how far south it can be seen.
    • Generally speaking, G2 storms can be seen as far south as New York and Idaho; for G3, it’s Illinois and Oregon; and for G4, it’s Alabama and northern California.
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication

100%

  • Unique Points
    • A coronal mass ejection (CME) was released from the sun on Jul 21 and is barreling toward Earth, due to arrive on July 24.
    • Heightened solar activity prompted NOAA to issue a geomagnetic storm watch for July 24.
    • CMEs can trigger geomagnetic storms that cause auroras in the Northern and Southern Hemispheres.
    • Geomagnetic storms are classified by NOAA using a G-scale, with G2 being a moderate-strength storm.
    • Aurora chasers are hoping for a direct hit from the CME, but it could also cause damage to technology and pose risks to satellites and astronauts in low Earth orbit.
    • CMEs can disrupt radio transmissions, increase radio static, cause power grid surges leading to blackouts, and warm Earth’s atmosphere.
  • Accuracy
    No Contradictions at Time Of Publication
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication

98%

  • Unique Points
    • A medium-size solar storm is forecasted to arrive in Maine skies Tuesday night and peak at around 2 a.m. Wednesday.
    • The best viewing of the northern lights would be happening in the Skowhegan area and points north.
    • This year has been an exceptionally good one for viewing the northern lights, and experts expect it to continue through the fall.
  • Accuracy
    • NOAA predicts this week’s solar storm will reach a peak intensity of 5.67 kp on the Kp index.
    • Displays of Northern Lights could be seen over some northern and upper Midwest US states from New York to Idaho between 06:00-09:00 Universal Time on July 24 (1:00-4:00 EDT).
    • G2 storms can be seen as far south as New York and Idaho; for G3, it’s Illinois and Oregon; and for G4, it’s Alabama and northern California.
    • Check the latest advice from the NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center for exact timings and recommendations on apps like My Aurora Forecast & Alerts or AuroraWatchUK.
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (0%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication

100%

  • Unique Points
    • A solar storm erupted from the Sun over the weekend, aimed more or less directly at Earth.
    • In the evening on Sunday, July 21, an immense ‘halo CME’ erupted from the Sun.
    • The halo CME is on a trajectory towards Earth and is forecast to arrive in the early hours of Wednesday, July 24.
    • NOAA’s Space Weather Prediction Center has issued a G2 geomagnetic storm watch for the hours after midnight on Tuesday night into Wednesday morning.
    • The Northern Lights may shine across Canada and some northern regions of the United States due to the solar storm.
    • Western Canada may have the best visibility for the Northern Lights due to geomagnetic storm strength.
  • Accuracy
    No Contradictions at Time Of Publication
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication

89%

  • Unique Points
    • The Space Weather Prediction Center is forecasting strong auroras in the Northern Hemisphere on July 19 and 20.
    • The best chance for auroral activity is Saturday, July 19.
    • University of Alaska Fairbanks is tracking moderate solar activity for tonight and active activity on Saturday.
  • Accuracy
    • Northern Lights, also known as the aurora borealis, may become visible in the early hours of Wednesday in northern US states from New York to Idaho.
    • A medium-size solar storm is forecasted to arrive in Maine skies Tuesday night and peak at around 2 a.m. Wednesday.
  • Deception (80%)
    The author makes several statements that are misleading or exaggerated. She states 'Despite 2024 being the greatest years for New York to see the Northern Lights, CNY has struck out every time because of downright terrible weather.' This is an exaggeration as there have been instances of New Yorkers seeing the Northern Lights in previous years. She also states 'The Space Weather Prediction Center is forecasting strong auroras in the Northern Hemisphere today, July 19, and tomorrow, July 20.' While it's true that the Space Weather Prediction Center has made this forecast, it's important to note that there are no guarantees that the auroras will actually manifest. The author also states 'So, here’s some bad news. The full moon, coined “the buck moon”, will peak at 6:17 a.m. on Sunday, July 21.' This statement is misleading as the full moon does not make it impossible to see the Northern Lights and the author provides no evidence that it will 'spoil' them. The author also makes several statements about past weather conditions and auroral displays without providing any sources or evidence.
    • So, here’s some bad news. The full moon, coined “the buck moon”, will peak at 6:17 a.m. on Sunday, July 21.
    • Despite 2024 being the greatest years for New York to see the Northern Lights, CNY has struck out every time because of downright terrible weather.
    • The Space Weather Prediction Center is forecasting strong auroras in the Northern Hemisphere today, July 19, and tomorrow, July 20.
  • Fallacies (95%)
    The author makes an appeal to past events (striking out every time in the past due to terrible weather) as evidence that it is unlikely for the Northern Lights to be visible this weekend despite forecasted clear skies and strong auroras. This is a fallacy of hasty generalization.
    • Every time the possibility of seeing the aurora borealis rears its head, it’s always accompanied by overcast skies.
    • Despite 2024 being the greatest years for New York to see the Northern Lights, CNY has struck out every time because of downright terrible weather.
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication