Natale Labia
Natale Labia writes on the economy and finance. Partner and chief economist of a global investment firm, he writes in his personal capacity. MBA from Università Bocconi. Supports Juventus. First published in the Daily Maverick 168 weekly newspaper. The phrase is most usually attributed to the Genevan mathematician and philosopher Jean-Jacques Rousseau, who wrote the eponymous 1762 text that is still standard reading for first year politics students. In it he outlined the basic contract – an agreement – between the state and individuals, that should exist for a state to be legitimate over the individual. For a state to be legitimate, individuals have to renounce certain freedoms to the authority of the state, in exchange for protection of the remaining rights of the individual and maintenance of order. Rousseau’s example of the rights to land ownership may sound particularly apposite. Land can be legitimately claimed if three conditions are present: if it is uninhabited, that the owner claims only what is needed for subsistence, and that ongoing labour and cultivation give the possession legitimately. One might therefore suggest that those who argue against land reform in South Africa should revisit their political philosophy. However, in a modern context, there are several more essential ways to apply the concept of the social contract in South Africa. First, there is a fundamentally economic element to it. To respect the rules and legitimacy of the state, the state should institute a framework in which all citizens have at least equal access to economic opportunity. Should that not exist, then what is the incentive for individuals to comply with the removal of economic rights as laid down by the state (being precluded from helping yourself to a TV without paying for it, for example)? It is clear that the social contract in South Africa has been fraying for years, maybe decades. A cursory glance at South Africa's economic statistics confirm it. Unemployment is up almost 10% in the past 10 years, but the basic numbers are even more shameful. There are more than 7 million unemployed South Africans, but also more than 3 million who are not working but also not even looking for a job as it is so clearly a futile task. One in six South Africans are therefore daily all too aware of the non-compliance of the state with its social contract. Furthermore, South Africa is the world's most unequal country, with a Gini coefficient of 63.0. The statistics beggar belief. According to the World Bank report of 2020, the richest 10% hold 71% of the wealth,
75%
The Daily's Verdict
This author has a mixed reputation for journalistic standards. It is advisable to fact-check, scrutinize for bias, and check for conflicts of interest before relying on the author's reporting.
Bias
85%
Examples:
- The article is biased towards the idea that China's growth story is over. The author uses statistics and data to support their argument but also includes personal opinions and interpretations.
Conflicts of Interest
50%
Examples:
- The article does not provide any clear evidence of a conflict of interest. However, it is worth noting that the author is an economist and may have personal or professional interests in certain economic policies or outcomes.
Contradictions
90%
Examples:
- The article contradicts itself by stating that despite a few short-term speed bumps, China is still on course to either catch up with or indeed surpass the US as the world's preeminent economic power. However, official nominal GDP data from Beijing shows that China's share of global GDP has shrunk materially since 2019.
Deceptions
90%
Examples:
- The article includes several examples of deception such as stating that China's share of global GDP has shrunk materially since 2019 when official nominal GDP data from Beijing shows otherwise. Additionally, the author states that real long-term potential growth is at no more than 2.5% but most economic estimates register real long-term potential growth at less than this figure.
Recent Articles
China's Economy Faces Challenges Amid Slowdown, Rising Debt and Demographic Issues
Broke On: Wednesday, 17 January 2024China's economy is facing challenges such as slow GDP growth, rising debt levels and deflation. However, despite these issues it remains one of the world's largest economies and plays an important role in global trade.