Alabama Weather: Drying Through Thursday; Unsettled Weather For The Weekend

Clouds return Friday ahead of a cold front, and some rain likely move into northern Alabama.
Dry weather is expected through Thursday with mostly pleasant and fair nights; high temperatures will be in the 60s, while lows are in the 30s to mid-40s.
The sky has cleared over the northern half of Alabama
Alabama Weather: Drying Through Thursday; Unsettled Weather For The Weekend

ALABAMA WEATHER: Drying Through Thursday; Unsettled Weather For The Weekend : The Alabama Weather Blog

CLEARING: THE SKY HAS CLEARED OVER THE NORTHERN HALF OF ALABAMIANS, WHILE LINGERING CLOUDS SHOULD MOVE OUT THIS EVENING. DRY WEATHER IS THE STORY TOMORROW THROUGH THURSDAY WITH MOSTLY PLEASANT AND FAIR NIGHTS; HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE 60s, WHILE LOWS ARE IN THE 30s TO MID-40s. CLOUDS RETURN FRIDAY AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT, AND SOME RAIN LIKELY MOVE INTO NORTHERN ALABAMA.

THE WEEKEND WILL FEATURE UNSETTLED WEATHER WITH PERIODS OF RAIN BOTH SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. THE MOST SETTLING RAIN IS LIKELY TO BE ACROSS NORTH/CENTRAL ALABAMA, WHERE AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHS ARE POSSIBLE.

GLOBAL MODELS SUGGEST THAT THERE WILL BE THE CHANCE OF RAIN COULD LINGER INTO MONTH6THE REST OF THE WEEK LOOKS DRY WITH SEASONAL TEMPERATURES; HIGH TEMPERATURES MOSTLY IN THE 50s, LOWS IN THE 30s. SEE THE VIDEO BRIEFING FOR MAPS, GRAPHICS AND FURTHER DETAILS.

ON THIS DATE IN 1887: SAN FRANCISCO EXPERIENCED ITS MOST SIGNIFICANT SNOWSTORM OF RECORD. NEARLY FOUR INCHES WAS REPORTED IN DOWNTOWN SAN FRANCISCO, AND THE WEST HILLS OF CALIFORNIA RECEIVED SEVEN INCHES.

ON THIS DATE IN 1909: A TORNADO TORE THROUGH PARTS OF LOWRY COUNTY, ALABAMA. AT LEAST SIX SMALL FRAMEWORK HOUSES WERE DESTROYED NEAR BURKVILLE.

ON THIS DATE IN 1986: A SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORM TORNADO TORE THROUGH THE TOMBALL AREA NORTHWEST OF HOUSTON, TX. AT LEAST FOUR PEOPLE WERE KILLED AND SEVERAL BUILDINGS WERE DESTRUCTION.

LOOK FOR THE NEXT VIDEO BRIEFING HERE BY 6:00 A.M. TOMORROW‶THE END



Confidence

100%

Doubts
  • None.

Sources

75%

  • Unique Points
    • The next soaking rain begins as early as Friday
    • Heavier rain sets in for Saturday, making outdoor activities difficult if not impossible
  • Accuracy
    • Alabama's weather looks better and better through midweek
    • Light, scattered showers will begin on Friday morning and last all day and night
  • Deception (50%)
    The article is deceptive in several ways. Firstly, it states that 'Alabama's weather looks better and better through midweek', but this statement is not supported by the data provided. In fact, temperatures fall to the 30s and lower 40s early Tuesday morning, which does not look particularly good for anyone who lives in Alabama. Secondly, it states that 'light, scattered showers will begin as early as Friday morning', but this statement is also unsupported by the data provided. In fact, heavy rain sets in for Saturday and could be a total wash out of a day. Thirdly, it states that 'Both weekend days feature humid, mild days in the 60s', but this statement is not supported by the data provided either. In fact, temperatures get milder in the afternoon on Friday and heavier rain sets in for Saturday.
    • The article claims that light scattered showers will begin on Friday morning but heavy rain sets in for Saturday which could be a total wash out of a day.
    • The article claims that Alabama's weather looks better through midweek when it states 'Temperatures fall to the 30s and lower 40s early Tuesday morning'. However, this is not supported by data as temperatures are actually falling below freezing.
  • Fallacies (85%)
    The article contains several examples of informal fallacies. The author uses an appeal to authority by stating that the weather will be mild and sunny through midweek without providing any evidence or expert opinion to support this claim. Additionally, the author makes a false dilemma by presenting only two options for weekend weather: rainy or dry, when in reality there are many different levels of precipitation possible. The article also contains an example of inflammatory rhetoric with phrases such as 'pesky hit-or-miss rain' and 'total wash out'.
    • The author uses an appeal to authority by stating that the weather will be mild and sunny through midweek without providing any evidence or expert opinion to support this claim.
    • The author makes a false dilemma by presenting only two options for weekend weather: rainy or dry, when in reality there are many different levels of precipitation possible.
  • Bias (85%)
    The article contains a statement that implies the weather will be mild and sunny through midweek. However, it also mentions that rain is expected to begin as early as Friday and last all day and night on Saturday. This contradicts the initial statement about mild weather.
    • ]Some scattered frost is possible in the usual cold spots.
    • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
      None Found At Time Of Publication
    • Author Conflicts Of Interest (50%)
      Jason Simpson has a conflict of interest on the topic of Arctic blitz as he is reporting for WVTM13 which is based in Alabama. He also reports on weather conditions during January 13 to Jan. 21 and February mid-month.

      84%

      • Unique Points
        • The last two weeks have been relatively mild and wet in Central Alabama.
        • , The pattern flip to below normal temperatures should occur a few days after Valentine's Day.
        • Nearly all long-range and climate modeling suggest the below normal temperatures will be with us through at least the first two weeks of March.
        • The shades of blue showing up represent temperatures anywhere from 0.25° to 2.5° below normal during 7-day periods.
        • There will likely be some warmer days mixed in with the colder days later this month and early next month, though many days will be on the cooler side based on current expectations.
        • Average high temperatures in late February are expected to be in the upper 60s.
        • Low temperatures may drop into the 30s many times later this month.
      • Accuracy
        No Contradictions at Time Of Publication
      • Deception (100%)
        None Found At Time Of Publication
      • Fallacies (100%)
        None Found At Time Of Publication
      • Bias (85%)
        The author has a monetary bias as they are reporting on the weather forecast for Central Alabama. The article mentions that long-range forecast models have continued advertising a switch from above normal temperatures to below normal temperatures later this month and suggests nearly all long-range and climate modeling suggest the below normal temperatures will be with us through at least the first two weeks of March. This implies that there is an economic interest in reporting on weather patterns, as it may affect agriculture, tourism, or other industries.
        • Long-range forecast models have continued advertising a switch from above normal temperatures to below normal temperatures later this month
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            • The last two weeks have been relatively mild and wet
            • Site Conflicts Of Interest (50%)
              Tyler Sebree has a conflict of interest on the topic of winter weather in the Southeast U.S.
              • Author Conflicts Of Interest (50%)
                Tyler Sebree has a conflict of interest on the topic of winter weather in the Southeast U.S.

                74%

                • Unique Points
                  • BIRMINGHAM, Ala. (WBRC) - We will likely wake up Tuesday morning with a clear sky and temperatures in the mid to upper 30s.
                  • We will likely end up with a mostly sunny sky Tuesday afternoon as high pressure builds in from the west.
                  • High temperatures will likely end up a few degrees above average with most of us warming into the low to mid 60s. Our average high for early February is 57.
                • Accuracy
                  • Alabama's weather looks better and better through midweek
                  • The next soaking rain begins as early as Friday
                  • Light, scattered showers will begin on Friday morning and last all day and night
                  • Heavier rain sets in for Saturday, making outdoor activities difficult if not impossible
                • Deception (100%)
                  None Found At Time Of Publication
                • Fallacies (85%)
                  The article contains several fallacies. The author uses an appeal to authority by stating that the forecast is from WBRC First Alert Weather without providing any evidence or qualification for their expertise.
                  • >We will likely wake up Tuesday morning with a clear sky and temperatures in the mid to upper 30s.<br>The middle part of the week will provide us with chilly mornings and comfortable afternoons. Low temperatures are forecast to start out in the mid 30s Wednesday<br>Isolated showers will be possible Thursday night in northwest Alabama as our next rainmaker approaches.
                • Bias (100%)
                  None Found At Time Of Publication
                • Site Conflicts Of Interest (0%)
                  Lauren Linahan has a conflict of interest on the topic of weather in Birmingham and Alabama as she is an employee of WBRC which covers these topics.
                  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (0%)
                    Lauren Linahan has a conflict of interest on the topic of weather in Birmingham, Alabama as she is an employee and anchor at WBRC.

                    90%

                    • Unique Points
                      • The sky has cleared over the northern half of Alabama this afternoon
                      • Those lingering clouds should move out this evening
                      • Dry weather is the story tomorrow through Thursday with mostly sunny pleasant afternoons and fair chilly nights; highs will be mostly in the 60s, with lows in the 30s and 40s. Clouds return Friday ahead of a cold front, and some rain will likely move into the northern half of the state.
                      • The weekend will feature unsettled weather with periods of rain both Saturday and Sunday
                      • Global models suggests the chance of rain could linger into Monday‶the rest of the week looks dry with seasonal temperatures; highs mostly in the 50s, lows in the 30s. See the video briefing for maps, graphics, and more details.
                      • Alabama's weather looks better and better through midweek
                      • The next soaking rain begins as early as Friday
                      • Light, scattered showers will begin on Friday morning and last all day and night
                    • Accuracy
                      No Contradictions at Time Of Publication
                    • Deception (100%)
                      None Found At Time Of Publication
                    • Fallacies (85%)
                      The article contains several fallacies. The author uses an appeal to authority by stating that James Spann is a recognized and trusted television meteorologist in the industry.
                      • > Dry weather is the story tomorrow through Thursday with mostly sunny pleasant afternoons and fair chilly nights; highs will be mostly in the 60s, with lows in the 30s and 40s. <br> The most widespread rain will be across North/Central Alabama, where amounts of 1 to 2 inches are possible.
                      • The next video briefing here by [insert time] tomorrow
                      • <br> Amounts for the southern third of the state will be 1/2 inch or less for most communities.
                    • Bias (100%)
                      None Found At Time Of Publication
                    • Site Conflicts Of Interest (50%)
                      James Spann has a conflict of interest on the topic of tornadoes as he is an expert in severe weather and frequently reports on it. He also has financial ties to companies that provide equipment for storm chasing.
                      • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
                        None Found At Time Of Publication

                      87%

                      • Unique Points
                        • , it will feel colder due to the wind and rain.
                        • There is a chance for rain next weekend for both Saturday and Sunday with high temps once again in the low 60s.
                      • Accuracy
                        • It will rain and be breezy on Sunday with cool temperatures.
                        • There will be showers and breezy conditions through midnight with temperatures around 40 degrees.
                        • On Monday, there will be a stray morning shower but otherwise it will be sunny and nice with highs in the low 60s.
                      • Deception (100%)
                        None Found At Time Of Publication
                      • Fallacies (100%)
                        None Found At Time Of Publication
                      • Bias (100%)
                        None Found At Time Of Publication
                      • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
                        None Found At Time Of Publication
                      • Author Conflicts Of Interest (0%)
                        Jeff Desnoyers has a conflict of interest on the topic of rain as he is an author for Waff.com which sells products related to weather.