Caleb Williams Expected to be the First Pick in 2024 NFL Draft as Justin Fields Struggles with Total QBR

Chicago, Illinois United States of America
Caleb Williams is expected to be the first pick in 2024 NFL Draft
Justin Fields finished poorly in Total QBR in 2023, so he is not a viable option for them with the first pick.
The Chicago Bears have the first pick via the Carolina Panthers and are expected to select him.
Caleb Williams Expected to be the First Pick in 2024 NFL Draft as Justin Fields Struggles with Total QBR

The 2024 NFL Draft is approaching, and the consensus No. 1 quarterback prospect in the draft is Caleb Williams of USC. The Chicago Bears have the first pick via the Carolina Panthers and are expected to select him. However, Justin Fields finished poorly in Total QBR in 2023, so he is not a viable option for them with the first pick.



Confidence

80%

Doubts
  • It's possible that Caleb Williams may have some off-field issues that could impact his draft stock.

Sources

64%

  • Unique Points
    • The Miami Dolphins traded up for QB in the first round of a mock draft.
    • Duke's versatile offensive lineman, Graham Barton was selected by the Miami Dolphins as part of the trade.
  • Accuracy
    No Contradictions at Time Of Publication
  • Deception (30%)
    The article contains several examples of deceptive practices. Firstly, the author uses sensationalism by stating that Miami is sliding down the order to pick 25 and then proceeds to say they are picking a versatile offensive lineman who could be a dual threat as a returner too.
    • Miami is sliding down the order to pick 25, where the team selected Duke's versatile offensive lineman, Graham Barton. As part of the deal, the Dolphins also picked up third- and fourth-round selections that will be used in future editions of this gradual mock draft.
    • The Cardinals need more help on offense, and Worthy is the all-time 40-yard dash king of the combine. Worthy can excel as a complement to Harrison Jr., as well as a return man with the new NFL kickoff rules.
  • Fallacies (75%)
    The article contains several logical fallacies. The author uses an appeal to authority by stating that the Raiders could have gone quarterback in round one but addressed their line instead before making a Day 2 phone call to New England. This statement implies that the decision was based on expert knowledge or authority, when it is not clear who this authority is or what evidence they used to make this conclusion.
    • The Raiders could have gone quarterback in round one but addressed their line instead before making a Day 2 phone call to New England.
  • Bias (75%)
    The author of the article has a clear bias towards certain players and teams. They make statements that are not factual or objective, such as calling Miami's selection of Graham Barton 'versatile'. The author also uses language that is meant to deceive their readers by making it seem like they have done research when in reality they haven't.
    • After getting a quarterback to lead Kliff Kingsbury’s offense, the Commanders have a solid war chest of picks left, so they turn their attention to pass rushing help.
      • Round one: J.C. Latham, OT, Alabama The Raiders could have gone quarterback in round one but addressed their line instead before making a Day 2 phone call to New England.
        • The Cardinals need more help on offense and Worthy is the all-time 40-yard dash king of the combine.
          • The hypothetical move sent Miami sliding down the order to pick 25, where the team selected Duke’s versatile offensive lineman, Graham Barton.
          • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
            None Found At Time Of Publication
          • Author Conflicts Of Interest (0%)
            The author has multiple conflicts of interest on the topics provided. The article is about a mock NFL draft and mentions several players including J.C. Latham, Marvin Harrison Jr., Worthy, Jayden Daniels and Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports who are all affiliated with Miami Dolphins.
            • The author has multiple conflicts of interest on the topics provided.

            61%

            • Unique Points
              • Tyler Guyton
              • Devontez Walker
              • Graham Barton
            • Accuracy
              • The AFC team's round 1 pick is Tyler Guyton, OT, Oklahoma and Devontez Walker, WR, North Carolina.
              • Duke's versatile offensive lineman Graham Barton was selected by the Miami Dolphins as part of a trade.
            • Deception (30%)
              The article is deceptive in several ways. Firstly, the author claims to have distributed this year's top prospects among all 32 teams and gives each organization ideal picks with its first two draft slots. However, it is not clear how these projections were made or what criteria were used to determine which players would be assigned to which team. Secondly, the article mentions that some excellent players are not listed because four teams currently own three picks in the top two rounds and wanted to account for the likelihood that they will grab top talent with that third premium pick. However, this is a subjective decision made by the author without any clear criteria or evidence provided.
              • The article claims to have distributed this year's top prospects among all 32 teams but does not provide any information on how these projections were made.
            • Fallacies (70%)
              The article contains several logical fallacies. The author uses an appeal to authority by stating that the Baltimore Ravens should love finding a large and agile left tackle like Tyler Guyton in Round 1 of the NFL Draft. This statement is not supported by any evidence or reasoning provided in the article, but rather relies on assumptions about what teams should do based on their past performance. Additionally, there are several instances where the author uses inflammatory rhetoric to make his point, such as when he states that Baltimore traded right tackle Morgan Moses
              • The statement 'Baltimore traded right tackle Morgan Moses to the Jets this offseason' is an example of a false cause fallacy. The trade was not caused by anything specific but rather happened for unrelated reasons.
              • <p>Left tackle Ronnie Stanley has missed 36 games due to injuries over the past four seasons, and Baltimore traded right tackle Morgan Moses to the Jets this offseason.</p>
            • Bias (75%)
              The author has a clear bias towards the NFL Draft and is excited to discuss it. The article also includes multiple examples of other articles discussing the draft which could be seen as an attempt to provide context or additional information but may also be viewed as promoting those articles.
              • Gennaro Filice 2024 NFL mock draft ... with a twist! What every team SHOULD do in Round 1
                • I kept some semblance of realism in this process
                  • Published: Apr 12, 2024 at 01:39 PM
                  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
                    None Found At Time Of Publication
                  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (0%)
                    The author has multiple conflicts of interest on the topics provided. The article discusses specific teams and their ideal top two picks for the 2024 NFL Draft, which could be seen as a form of advocacy or promotion for those teams. Additionally, the article mentions specific players such as Tyler Guyton and Devontez Walker, who may have financial ties to certain companies or industries that are relevant to their positions in football.
                    • The author discusses the ideal top two picks for every team in the NFL Draft.

                    76%

                    • Unique Points
                      • Caleb Williams is the consensus No. 1 quarterback prospect in the 2024 NFL draft.
                      • The Chicago Bears have the first pick via the Carolina Panthers and will likely select Caleb Williams.
                      • Justin Fields finished 23rd out of 30 quarterbacks in Total QBR in 2023, so he is not a viable option for the team with the first pick.
                    • Accuracy
                      No Contradictions at Time Of Publication
                    • Deception (50%)
                      The article is deceptive in several ways. Firstly, the author claims that there is a consensus No. 1 quarterback prospect in the 2024 NFL draft: USC standout and 2022 Heisman Trophy winner Caleb Williams.
                      • The article states that 'there is a consensus No. 1 quarterback prospect' but it does not provide any evidence to support this claim.
                    • Fallacies (85%)
                      None Found At Time Of Publication
                    • Bias (80%)
                      The article is biased towards the idea that quarterbacks are crucial for a team's success. The author uses examples such as Patrick Mahomes and Tyreek Hill to support this claim. Additionally, the author emphasizes that teams should draft a quarterback when they want one rather than out of necessity.
                      • The Chiefs with Mahomes
                        • the Green Bay Packers with Jordan Love provide a strong case for Cohen's point.
                        • Site Conflicts Of Interest (50%)
                          None Found At Time Of Publication
                        • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
                          None Found At Time Of Publication

                        60%

                        • Unique Points
                          • The Bengals don't have to secure Brock Bowers
                          • A deep wide receiver class will be of interest to the Chiefs
                          • PFF's Mock Draft Simulator can help you trade picks and players for your favorite NFL team.
                        • Accuracy
                          • A deep wide receiver class will be of interest to the Chiefs. One potential target could be South Carolina’s Xavier Legette
                          • PFF’s Mock Draft Simulator can help you trade picks and players for your favorite NFL team.
                        • Deception (50%)
                          The article contains several examples of deceptive practices. The author uses sensationalism by stating that the draft is about finding diamonds in the rough rather than bona fide stars which implies a negative connotation towards Day 1 picks and creates an emotional response from readers.
                          • Draft and trade for yourself: Try PFF's Mock Draft Simulator
                          • A deep wide receiver class will be of interest to the Chiefs:
                          • If the Bengals don't secure Brock Bowers, then JaTavion Sanders is an excellent Day 2 option:
                        • Fallacies (85%)
                          The article contains several examples of informal fallacies. The author uses an appeal to authority by stating that Clemson's Jeremiah Trotter Jr. was arguably college football's most consistent linebacker over the past two years without providing any evidence or context for this claim.
                          • Clemson’s Jeremiah Trotter Jr. was arguably college football’s most consistent linebacker over the past two years.
                        • Bias (85%)
                          The author has a clear bias towards the NFL draft and is providing recommendations for each team. The author also uses language that dehumanizes players by referring to them as 'diamonds in the rough' rather than acknowledging their potential value.
                          • A deep wide receiver class will be of interest to the Chiefs:
                            • <a href=
                              • > If the Bengals don’t secure Brock Bowers, then Ja’Tavion Sanders is an excellent Day 2 option:
                              • Site Conflicts Of Interest (0%)
                                None Found At Time Of Publication
                              • Author Conflicts Of Interest (0%)
                                None Found At Time Of Publication