CPI Report: Inflation Eases Slightly in May, but Economic Anxiety Remains High

Washington D.C., District of Columbia United States of America
Consumer Price Index (CPI) remained unchanged in May
Core inflation rose 0.2% monthly and 3.4% yearly
Federal Reserve expected to keep interest rates between 5.25% and 5.5% this week
Headline inflation decreased due to decline in energy prices
Nearly three in five Americans believe US is in recession despite low unemployment rate
CPI Report: Inflation Eases Slightly in May, but Economic Anxiety Remains High

Inflation, a major concern for consumers and policymakers alike, showed signs of easing in May according to multiple reports released last week. The Consumer Price Index (CPI), which measures the change in prices for a basket of goods and services, remained unchanged from April and rose 3.3% year-over-year.

The decrease in headline inflation was driven by a decline in energy prices, specifically gasoline prices, which fell 6.1% month-over-month and were down 20.6% from the same period last year.

Core inflation, which excludes food and energy costs, rose 0.2% on a monthly basis and was up 3.4% year-over-year.

Despite the slight decrease in inflation, economic anxiety remains high with nearly three in five Americans mistakenly believing the US is in recession according to a Harris poll conducted exclusively for The Guardian last month.

Unemployment is near historic lows, but surveys indicate President Biden is struggling to convince voters that the economy has improved under his watch.

The Federal Reserve, which raised interest rates sharply in 2022 and 2023 in a bid to cool the US economy, will announce its latest decision on interest rates this week. The central bank is widely expected to keep rates between 5.25% and 5.5%, a two-decade high.

Anxiety over the state of the economy continues to linger, with consumers facing rising costs for shelter, transportation, and other essentials.

The latest CPI data comes as economists debate whether inflation has peaked or if it will continue to rise. Some experts believe that inflation could remain high due to supply chain disruptions and labor shortages.

It is important to note that while these reports provide valuable insights into the current state of the economy, they should be taken with a grain of salt. As a neutral journalist, I urge readers to be skeptical of all information provided and to seek out diverse sources for a more complete understanding of the issues at hand.



Confidence

95%

Doubts
  • It's important to note that the CPI report should be taken with a grain of salt and readers should seek out diverse sources for a more complete understanding of the economy.

Sources

83%

  • Unique Points
    • Inflation rate for May was 3.3% compared to a year ago
    • Core CPI, which excludes food and energy prices, increased by 0.2% on the month and 3.4% from a year ago
    • Shelter inflation increased by 0.4% on the month and was up 5.4% from a year ago
    • Motor vehicle insurance increased more than 20% annually despite a slight (0.1%) decrease on the month.
    • The Federal Reserve is expected to update its projections for GDP growth, inflation, and unemployment based on the CPI numbers
    • Futures traders increased chances of Fed cutting interest rates in September
  • Accuracy
    • The value of CPI for May decreased
    • Consumer price index data for May showed that core inflation cooled more than expected last month but it was reported that the overall consumer price index was unchanged on the month.
    • The annual core CPI inflation rate unexpectedly fell to 3.4% from 3.6% in April.
    • Core goods prices were unchanged on the month
    • Transportation services prices dropped by 0.9%, the steepest decline since September 2021.
  • Deception (30%)
    The article does not clearly state its author's opinion on inflation, but it does present some selective reporting and editorializing. The author states that the top-line inflation numbers were lower than expected, which could be seen as an attempt to frame the news in a positive light. Additionally, the author quotes an expert who interprets the data positively but doesn't provide any counterarguments or alternative interpretations. There is also a mention of market expectations without disclosing sources, which can be considered selective reporting.
    • The consumer price index showed no increase in May as inflation slightly loosened its stubborn grip on the U.S. economy...
    • Excluding volatile food and energy prices, core CPI increased 0.2% on the month and 3.4% from a year ago, compared to respective estimates of 0.3% and 3.5%.
    • Finally, some positive surprises as both headline and core inflation beat forecasts...
  • Fallacies (95%)
    The author makes several statements in the article that are not fallacious, but there are a few instances of inflammatory rhetoric and an appeal to authority. The author states 'Another nettlesome inflation component, motor vehicle insurance, saw a 0.1% monthly decline though still up more than 20% on an annual basis.' This is not a fallacy as it is simply reporting the data, but it does use the word 'nettlesome' which could be considered inflammatory. The author also quotes Robert Frick, corporate economist with Navy Federal Credit Union, who says 'There was relief at the pump, but unfortunately home and apartment costs continue to rise and remain the main cause of inflation.' This is an appeal to authority as it is quoting an expert's opinion on the matter. However, since this is not a formal fallacy and there are only a few instances in the article, I would still score it relatively high.
    • ][author] Another nettlesome inflation component, motor vehicle insurance, saw a 0.1% monthly decline though still up more than 20% on an annual basis.[//]
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication

96%

  • Unique Points
    • CPI (Consumer Price Index) for May was reported
    • The value of CPI for May decreased
  • Accuracy
    • Core CPI, which excludes food and energy prices, increased by 0.2% on the month and 3.4% from a year ago
    • The overall consumer price index was unchanged on the month.
    • Core goods prices were unchanged on the month
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (0%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication

99%

  • Unique Points
    • Price growth has fallen significantly since reaching above 9%, its highest level in a generation, during the Covid-19 pandemic.
    • Anxiety over the economy remains high with nearly three in five Americans mistakenly believing the US is in recession.
    • Unemployment is near historic lows, but surveys indicate President Biden is struggling to convince voters that the economy has improved under his watch.
  • Accuracy
    • Inflation rate for May was 3.3% compared to a year ago
    • Consumer Price Index (CPI) remained unchanged on the month
    • Price growth has fallen significantly since reaching above 9%, its highest level in a generation, during the Covid-19 pandemic
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication

98%

  • Unique Points
    • Consumer price index data for May showed that core inflation cooled more than expected last month.
    • The annual core CPI inflation rate unexpectedly fell to 3.4% from 3.6% in April.
    • New vehicle prices fell 0.5%
    • Transportation services prices dropped by 0.9%, the steepest decline since September 2021.
  • Accuracy
    • The overall consumer price index was unchanged on the month.
    • The 12-month CPI inflation rate unexpectedly dipped to 3.3% from 3.4%.
    • Core goods prices were unchanged on the month
    • Transportation services prices dropped by 0.9%.
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication

97%

  • Unique Points
    • Consumer price increases cooled in May, with the Consumer Price Index (CPI) remaining flat month-over-month and rising 3.3% year-over-year.
    • Energy prices, specifically gas prices, contributed to the decrease in headline CPI.
    • Core CPI, which excludes food and energy costs, rose 0.2% month-over-month and 3.4% year-over-year.
    • Shelter prices rose 5.4% annually and were the largest contributor to core price increases.
  • Accuracy
    • Inflation rate for May was 3.3% compared to a year ago
    • Core CPI, which excludes food and energy prices, increased by 0.2% on the month and 3.4% from a year ago
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (90%)
    The article contains some inflammatory rhetoric and a few informal fallacies, but no formal logical fallacies. The author uses strong language to describe inflation data ('cooled', 'stubbornly above', 'bumpy') which can create a misleading impression of the situation. Additionally, there are instances of appeals to authority (e.g., mentioning that the Fed's preferred inflation gauge is closely watched by the Fed and that economists attribute sticky shelter inflation to higher core inflation readings). However, these do not meet the criteria for formal logical fallacies.
    • Inflation has remained stubbornly above the Federal Reserve's 2% target on an annual basis.
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication