U.S. crude oil prices experienced a slight decline on July 8, 2024, as traders assessed the impact of Tropical Storm Beryl on Gulf Coast refining, production, and export infrastructure. The storm made landfall near Matagorda, Texas, as a Category 1 hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 80 miles per hour.
Beryl was downgraded to a tropical storm with maximum sustained winds of 60 miles per hour and is forecast to weaken further. The storm is moving in a northeast direction and has already caused some reduction in refining operations, leading to delays in getting products to Florida. However, gasoline prices are unlikely to be significantly affected.
The Gulf of Mexico produces about 5.5% of oil production in the U.S., with Shell shutting in production and evacuating personnel from its Perdido platform about 200 miles south of Galveston, Texas. The platform was producing roughly 100,00 barrels per day.
Despite the potential impact of Hurricane Beryl on Gulf Coast operations, some analysts remain optimistic that the storm will not significantly affect supply or price. Andy Lipow, president of Lipow Oil Associates, believes that consumers will continue to get their gasoline and most people would not even notice.
Investors are also concerned about the upcoming hurricane season with Colorado State University forecasting an 'extremely active' storm season this year. Prices at the pump were averaging about $3.50 per gallon nationwide on July 8, up from $3.49 last week but down from $3.51 in June.
It is important to note that Hurricane Beryl is just one of many factors affecting oil prices, and other geopolitical events and market dynamics can also impact the price of crude oil.
Sources: CNBC: U.S. crude oil prices fall 1% as market assesses Tropical Storm Beryl impact Oilprice.com: Oil Moves Slightly Lower as Beryl Pummels Texas Bloomberg: Latest Oil Market News and Analysis for July 8