McDonald's Beats Inflation with Successful Value Promotions: Second-Quarter Earnings Report

Chicago, Illinois, Illinois, USA United States of America
Following the release of earnings, McDonald's stock price rose by around 3%.
McDonald's announced plans to extend its popular $5 meal deal into August.
McDonald's attributed its strong performance to its emphasis on value in advertising which attracted more customers back into stores.
McDonald's reported revenues of $6.63 billion for the second quarter, slightly above expectations.
Net income came in at $2.24 billion compared to the previous year's second quarter.
McDonald's Beats Inflation with Successful Value Promotions: Second-Quarter Earnings Report

In the lead is a story of how McDonald’s performed in its second-quarter earnings report, released on Monday, July 29, 2024. The fast food giant reported revenues of $6.63 billion for the quarter, slightly above expectations of $6.61 billion. Net income came in at $2.24 billion compared to the previous year’s second quarter’s $2.31 billion, but was still a positive result for investors who had been concerned about the impact of inflation on customer spending and restaurant traffic. The company attributed its strong performance to its emphasis on value in advertising, which has attracted more customers back into stores. McDonald’s shares had fallen about 15% since the start of the year at $252 as of Friday, July 26, before the earnings report was released. Following the release of earnings, McDonald's stock price rose by around 3%. The company also announced plans to extend its popular $5 meal deal into August after initially scheduling it for just four weeks from its late-June start. Analysts have noted that nearly all McDonald's locations have agreed to the extension, indicating strong customer response to the discount program. Overall, McDonald’s second-quarter earnings report showed a resilient company that has successfully navigated inflationary pressures and maintained its market share through strategic value promotions.



Confidence

90%

Doubts
  • Are there any specific details about how much the value promotions increased sales or customer traffic?

Sources

96%

  • Unique Points
    • McDonald’s is expected to report second-quarter earnings on Monday.
    • At the start of the second quarter, McDonald’s bought the 225 restaurants operated by its Israeli franchisee.
  • Accuracy
    • McDonald's is expected to report second-quarter earnings on Monday.
    • Revenue: $6.61 billion expected.
    • McDonald's stock has fallen 15% year to date.
    • Wall Street is expecting flat U.S. same-store sales for the second quarter.
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication

96%

  • Unique Points
    • McDonald’s (MCD) will release earnings results tomorrow.
    • Revenue was $6.17 billion in the last quarter, up 4.6% YoY.
  • Accuracy
    • Revenue: $6.61 billion expected.
    • McDonald’s stock price is heading into earnings with an average analyst price target of $301.8 (currently $251.18)
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication

97%

  • Unique Points
    • McDonald’s is set to report earnings on Monday, July 28, 2024.
    • The value meal promotion launched by McDonald’s last month has been successful and will be extended into August.
  • Accuracy
    • ]McDonald's is expected to report second-quarter earnings on Monday.[/
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (0%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication

96%

  • Unique Points
    • McDonald’s stock has fallen 15% year to date.
    • McDonald’s is expected to report a 0.5% decline in U.S. comparable sales for Q2 this year without the Grimace boost.
  • Accuracy
    • Wall Street expects McDonald's to report a quarterly EPS of $3.07 (-3.2% Y/Y) and revenue of $6.63B (+2.0% Y/Y).
    • McDonald's is expected to report a 0.5% decline in U.S. comparable sales for Q2 this year without the Grimace boost.
    • Morgan Stanley expects McDonald's to give 'downbeat' results and has trimmed its bottom-line forecasts by 2-3% and Q2 comparable sales.
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication

92%

  • Unique Points
    • McDonald’s stock is scheduled to report fiscal second-quarter results on July 29, 2024.
    • McDonald’s revenues are expected to be around $6.7 billion for Q2 2024.
    • Around 38% of McDonald’s revenue comes from sales at company-owned restaurants and those sales come from about 5% of McDonald’s restaurants owned by the company.
  • Accuracy
    • McDonald's stock is scheduled to report fiscal second-quarter results on July 29, 2024.
    • McDonald's stock has declined from around $297 to $251 so far this year.
    • The S&P grew about 14% over the same period.
    • McDonald’s expects the quick-service restaurant industry traffic in the U.S. to be negative for the full year 2024.
    • McDonald's stock is trading at a valuation of 21x forward price-to-earnings ratio which is below its five-year average of 28x.
    • Around 38% of McDonald's revenue comes from sales at company-owned restaurants and those sales come from about 5% of McDonald's restaurants owned by the company.
  • Deception (80%)
    The article contains selective reporting as it only mentions McDonald's underperformance in relation to its stock price and the S&P 500, while omitting any mention of its revenue growth or other positive financial metrics. It also makes editorializing statements such as 'But it may not be able to do that without impacting overall demand.' and 'Right now, there are warning signs that should not be overlooked.' which could manipulate the reader's emotions.
    • Given the current uncertain macroeconomic environment with high oil prices and elevated interest rates, could MCD face a similar situation as it did in 2023 and underperform the S&P over the next 12 months - or will it see a strong jump?
    • It should be noted that MCD shares are trading at a valuation of 21x forward price-to-earnings ratio which is below its five-year average of 28x, indicating that the stock could move higher again in the long term.
    • The stock decline can be attributed to investors’ concern about rising costs.
  • Fallacies (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication