Two Solar Storms Set to Cause Radio Blackouts on Earth: What You Need to Know

According to NOAA'S Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC), there is a 75% chance of M-class flares, which are known for their ability to cause radio blackouts.
On January 23, Earth is set to experience two solar storms that have a high chance of causing radio blackouts. The first solar storm hit on Sunday and the second one is expected to impact Earth today.
Two Solar Storms Set to Cause Radio Blackouts on Earth: What You Need to Know

On January 23, Earth is set to experience two solar storms that have a high chance of causing radio blackouts. The first solar storm hit on Sunday and the second one is expected to impact Earth today. According to NOAA'S Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC), there is a 75% chance of M-class flares, which are known for their ability to cause radio blackouts. These solar storms can also bring about various phenomena like the northern lights or aurora borealis when energy from the solar storm interacts with certain parts of Earth's atmosphere.



Confidence

90%

No Doubts Found At Time Of Publication

Sources

75%

  • Unique Points
    • There is a 75% chance of radio blackouts due to the solar storms
    • The two active sunspots released coronal mass ejections (CMEs) just one day apart - with the first on Sunday
    • NOAA uses a five-level system called the S-scale to indicate the severity of a solar radiation storm. The agency shows a 15 percent chance of such storms from today until Thursday.
    • The flare from 3559 had already disrupted radio communications over the South Pacific Ocean, Fiji and the northeast coast of Australia
    • Between the NASA and NOAA model runs, earliest expectations have it arriving in the afternoon on January 25th at 9am ET, but predictions also indicate it could be traveling more slowly
  • Accuracy
    • NOAA uses a five-level system called the S-scale to indicate the severity of a solar radiation storm. The agency shows a 15% chance of such storms from today until Thursday.
  • Deception (50%)
    The article is deceptive in several ways. Firstly, it states that there is a 75% chance of radio blackouts when the solar storms hit Earth. However, this statement contradicts itself by stating that NOAA has given them only a 15% chance of such storms from today until Thursday.
    • The article claims that there is a 75% chance of radio blackouts but states in another sentence that NOAA has given them only a 15% chance. This contradicts itself and therefore it's deceptive.
  • Fallacies (85%)
    The article contains several fallacies. The author uses an appeal to authority by citing the predictions of NOAA and Dr Tamitha Skov without providing any evidence or context for their credibility. Additionally, the author uses inflammatory rhetoric when describing the potential impact of a solar storm on radio communications as a
    • The sun released two powerful streams of energized particles this week,
  • Bias (85%)
    The article reports that the sun released two flares since Sunday and both are set to impact Earth. The author states that there is a 75% chance of radio blackouts due to these solar storms. However, it's important to note that this information was provided by NOAA and not directly from Stacy Liberatore or any other source mentioned in the article.
    • NOAA is giving us a 75 percent chance for M-class flares over the next three days while two sunspots are still in Earth view
      • The second flare from 3561 was classified as medium-sized and causes brief radio blackouts that affect Earth's polar regions
      • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
        None Found At Time Of Publication
      • Author Conflicts Of Interest (50%)
        The author has a conflict of interest on the topic of solar storms and radio blackouts as they are reporting for Daily Mail.com which is owned by News Corp.

        70%

        • Unique Points
          • A solar star caused a radio blackout over the Pacific Ocean on Monday
          • The grading for the storm predicted to hit today is G1 - the most minor
          • Solar storms are set for Tuesday and Wednesday with some effects felt Thursday but not expected to disrupt communications as much as Monday's event
        • Accuracy
          • A solar star caused a radio blackout over the Pacific Ocean on Monday, with one expert saying the risk of such blackouts is increasing.
          • There is a 75% chance of radio blackouts due to the solar storms
          • The flare released on Sunday was ‘the largest we have seen in weeks’ and has already caused short-lived radio blackouts over Australia and the Asian Pacific
        • Deception (50%)
          The article is deceptive in several ways. Firstly, the author claims that there was a radio blackout caused by a solar storm on Monday (January 22), but this information is not supported by any evidence provided in the article. Secondly, the author quotes an expert who says that there is an increasing risk of radio blackouts due to solar storms, but this statement contradicts other statements made in the same paragraph where it is stated that data showed a blackout lasting just seconds and another solar storm was set to hit today (January 23). Thirdly, the author quotes an expert who says that there is around a 60 percent chance of disruption to power grids due to solar storms, but this statement contradicts other statements made in the same paragraph where it is stated that NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC) said there was only around a 50 percent chance of such disruptions. Finally, the author quotes an expert who says that solar storms are unlikely to have any major impact on critical infrastructure, but this statement contradicts other statements made in the same paragraph where it is stated that NOAA's SWPC has predicted R1-R2 level radio blackouts and weak power grid fluctuations due to these solar storms. Overall, the article contains several instances of deceptive practices such as misinformation, contradictory statements and selective reporting.
          • The author quotes an expert who says that there is an increasing risk of radio blackouts due to solar storms, but this statement contradicts other statements made in the same paragraph where it is stated that data showed a blackout lasting just seconds and another solar storm was set to hit today (January 23).
          • The author quotes an expert who says that solar storms are unlikely to have any major impact on critical infrastructure, but this statement contradicts other statements made in the same paragraph where it is stated that NOAA's SWPC has predicted R1-R2 level radio blackouts and weak power grid fluctuations due to these solar storms.
          • The author claims that there was a radio blackout caused by a solar storm on Monday (January 22), but this information is not supported by any evidence provided in the article.
          • The author quotes an expert who says that there is around a 60 percent chance of disruption to power grids due to solar storms, but this statement contradicts other statements made in the same paragraph where it is stated that NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC) said there was only around a 50 percent chance of such disruptions.
        • Fallacies (70%)
          The article contains an appeal to authority fallacy by citing the opinions of a space weather physicist without providing any evidence or reasoning for their claims. The author also uses inflammatory rhetoric when describing the potential impact of the solar storms on radio blackouts and critical infrastructure, which could be seen as sensationalism rather than objective reporting.
          • The risk of such blackouts is increasing
          • ‘As for radio blackouts, yes the risk is increasing now. “We have already had two small M-class flares, resulting in short-lived R1-level radio blackouts [yesterday], but they may soon become longer and larger.”
          • ‘weak power grid fluctuations can occur’ and ‘minor impact on satellite operations possible’
        • Bias (100%)
          None Found At Time Of Publication
        • Site Conflicts Of Interest (50%)
          Claire Reid has a conflict of interest on the topic of solar storms as she is reporting for Unilad which is owned by Digital First Media. This company also owns several other news outlets and websites that are known to have financial ties with companies in the energy industry.
          • Author Conflicts Of Interest (50%)
            The author Claire Reid has a conflict of interest on the topic of solar storms as she is reporting for Getty Stock Image which may have financial ties to companies or industries related to space weather prediction and monitoring.

            58%

            • Unique Points
              • The sun released two flares since Sunday and both are set to impact Earth
              • There is a 75% chance of radio blackouts due to the solar storms
              • Solar storms hitting Earth can also bring about various phenomena like northern lights or aurora borealis which happen when energy from solar storm interacts with certain parts of Earth's atmosphere.
              • These recent events are expected to create auroras across multiple states including South Dakota, Iowa, Wisconsin, New York, Michigan, New Hampshire and Vermont.
            • Accuracy
              No Contradictions at Time Of Publication
            • Deception (30%)
              The article is deceptive in several ways. Firstly, it states that a solar storm could be headed for Earth today when there is no evidence to support this claim. Secondly, the article quotes Dr. Tamitha Skov as saying that two solar storms launched near Region 3555 on January 20 and one of them may give us a glancing blow on January 23. However, it does not provide any information about these storms or their potential impact on Earth. Thirdly, the article mentions that an unstable filament is in the sun which could launch more solar storms our way but fails to disclose what this means for Earth.
              • The sentence 'An unstable filament in the sun could launch more solar storms our way' is deceptive because it fails to disclose what this means for Earth.
              • The sentence 'Earth could be in store for a solar storm today' is deceptive because there is no evidence to support this claim.
              • The sentence 'Two solar storms launched near Region 3559 on January 23 may give us a glancing blow' is deceptive because it does not provide any information about these storms or their potential impact on Earth.
            • Fallacies (70%)
              The article contains several fallacies. The author uses an appeal to authority by citing Dr. Tamitha Skov's tweets as a source of information about the solar storms. However, this does not necessarily mean that her statements are accurate or reliable.
              • > According to tweets from Dr. Tamitha Skov, two solar storms launched near Region 3555 on January 20...
              • The second wave of energy from the sun will hit Earth today is likely to cause some radio blackouts somewhere across the planet.
              • Solar flares like the ones that caused yesterday's solar storm and today's possible storm are only going to get more frequent, too, as scientists believe we are heading towards our solar maximum...
            • Bias (100%)
              None Found At Time Of Publication
            • Site Conflicts Of Interest (0%)
              Joshua Hawkins has a conflict of interest on the topic of solar storms as he is an author for BGR.com which covers science and technology topics.
              • Author Conflicts Of Interest (0%)
                The author has a conflict of interest on the topic of solar storms as they are affiliated with Earth.com and Dr. Tamitha Skov who have been promoting the idea that we are in a period known as Region 3559 which is supposed to be causing radio blackouts.
                • In the article, the author refers to an interview with Dr. Tamitha Skov where she discusses her research on solar storms and their potential impact on Earth.
                  • The article mentions that 'Region 3559' has caused widespread disruptions on Earth, including radio blackouts. The author also quotes Dr. Tamitha Skov who says that we are in a period of increased solar activity known as Region 3559.

                  68%

                  • Unique Points
                    • A coronal mass ejection may lead to increased geomagnetic activity on Jan 22 and 23
                    • Residents of northern Wyoming should prepare for a potential celestial display as the aurora borealis, or northern lights, may become visible over northern states potentially as far west as Idaho.
                    • Solar flares emitting mostly ultraviolet light and X-rays can reach Earth within eight minutes
                    • CMEs take longer to reach Earth but can collide with Earth's magnetosphere creating geomagnetic storms
                  • Accuracy
                    No Contradictions at Time Of Publication
                  • Deception (30%)
                    The article contains several examples of deceptive practices. Firstly, the author uses sensationalism by stating that residents of northern Wyoming might see a light show. This is not supported by any scientific evidence and could be seen as misleading to readers who may expect to witness an aurora borealis every time there is increased geomagnetic activity.
                    • The forecaster that took this picture started his career in the National Weather Service in northern Alaska, and this rivals what he saw when he was up there,
                  • Fallacies (70%)
                    The article contains several fallacies. The author uses an appeal to authority by citing the National Weather Service and the Space Weather Prediction Center as sources of information. However, these organizations are not infallible and their predictions can be subject to error or bias. Additionally, the author uses inflammatory rhetoric when describing the potential for a coronal mass ejection leading to increased geomagnetic activity on Jan 22 and 3 as a 'potential celestial display'. This language is intended to create excitement and interest in the topic but can also be seen as sensationalist. The author also uses an informal fallacy by stating that the aurora may become visible over northern states, potentially as far west as Idaho without providing any evidence or data to support this claim.
                    • The forecaster that took this picture started his career in the National Weather Service in northern Alaska, and this rivals what he saw when he was up there,
                  • Bias (100%)
                    None Found At Time Of Publication
                  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (50%)
                    Stew Dyer has a conflict of interest on the topic of geomagnetic storms and coronal mass ejections as he is affiliated with the National Weather Service. He also mentions his experience in northern Alaska which could be seen as bias.
                    • The forecaster that took this picture started his career in the National Weather Service in northern Alaska, and this rivals what he saw when he was up there.
                    • Author Conflicts Of Interest (50%)
                      The author has a conflict of interest on the topic of geomagnetic storms and coronal mass ejections as they are affiliated with the National Weather Service. The article also mentions that the forecaster who took this picture started his career in northern Alaska which could be seen as an example of personal relationships.
                      • The author is affiliated with the National Weather Service, a government agency responsible for predicting and monitoring weather conditions including geomagnetic storms and coronal mass ejections.
                        • The forecaster who took this picture started his career in northern Alaska which could be seen as an example of personal relationships.