39 Months of Job Growth: US Economy Continues to Thrive Despite High Interest Rates and Inflation

New York, United States United States of America
Despite high interest rates, experts expect a steady roll of commercial activity, growing employment and rising wages to coexist in a healthy equilibrium. Inflation is also expected to continue cooling but at a slower pace than previously thought.
The unemployment rate fell to 3.8 percent from February
This marks the 39th straight month of job growth and employment levels are now more than three million greater than forecast by the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office just before the pandemic shock.
U.S. employers added 303,000 jobs in March on a seasonally adjusted basis
39 Months of Job Growth: US Economy Continues to Thrive Despite High Interest Rates and Inflation

The US economy is showing strong signs of growth, with U.S. employers adding 303,000 jobs in March on a seasonally adjusted basis and the unemployment rate falling to 3.8 percent from February.

This marks the 39th straight month of job growth and employment levels are now more than three million greater than forecast by the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office just before the pandemic shock.

Despite high interest rates, experts expect a steady roll of commercial activity, growing employment and rising wages to coexist in a healthy equilibrium. Inflation is also expected to continue cooling but at a slower pace than previously thought.

The Federal Reserve still foresees three rate cuts this year despite the recent bump in inflation. However, it's worth noting that some Fed officials are considering another rate hike due to the blowout jobs report and rising prices.



Confidence

100%

No Doubts Found At Time Of Publication

Sources

61%

  • Unique Points
    • The US economy added 303,000 jobs last month.
    • Black unemployment rose for the third consecutive month and is now nearly double that of the White jobless rate.
  • Accuracy
    No Contradictions at Time Of Publication
  • Deception (30%)
    The article is deceptive in several ways. Firstly, the author claims that stocks ended the day higher even though they actually ended lower for the week. Secondly, while it's true that job growth was strong and unemployment rates are low overall, there are concerns about inflation down the road which could affect future rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. Thirdly, despite this positive outlook on employment gains in general, Black unemployment continues to rise sharply and is now nearly double that of White jobless rates.
    • Despite strong job growth and low overall unemployment rates, there are concerns about inflation down the road which could affect future rate cuts by the Federal Reserve.
    • The article claims that stocks ended the day higher even though they actually ended lower for the week.
  • Fallacies (85%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Bias (75%)
    The article contains a statement that suggests the Federal Reserve may consider another rate hike due to the strong jobs report. This is an example of monetary bias as it implies that higher interest rates are inherently bad for the economy and could lead to a recession.
    • > The S&P 500 gained 1.1% and the Nasdaq Composite added 1.2%. Still, all three major indexes ended the week lower, starting the second quarter of the year on a sour note.
    • Site Conflicts Of Interest (50%)
      The article has multiple examples of conflicts of interest. The author Alicia Wallace is a CNN reporter who covers the stock market and economic news. Elisabeth Buchwald also reports on the economy for CNN, while Krystal Hur focuses on politics and policy issues related to business. Nicole Goodkind writes about technology companies for CNN Business, which may have financial ties with some of the topics covered in this article such as stocks and rate hikes.
      • Alicia Wallace is a reporter who covers the stock market
        • Elisabeth Buchwald reports on economic news
          • Krystal Hur focuses on politics and policy issues related to business
            • Nicole Goodkind writes about technology companies for CNN Business which may have financial ties with some of the topics covered in this article
            • Author Conflicts Of Interest (0%)
              The author has multiple conflicts of interest on the topics provided. Alicia Wallace is a CNN reporter who covers business and politics. Elisabeth Buchwald is also a CNN reporter who covers business and politics. Krystal Hur is a CNN producer based in New York City, while Nicole Goodkind was previously an intern at Business Insider before joining CNN as an associate producer for the live news team.
              • Alicia Wallace has covered topics related to stocks and rate hikes in previous articles.

              58%

              • Unique Points
                • A 4.8 magnitude earthquake occurred in Newark, New Jersey on April 5
                • The US economy is expected to continue powering Corporate America despite the potential for still-elevated interest rates.
                • U.S. employers added 303,000 jobs in March on a seasonally adjusted basis.
              • Accuracy
                • Black unemployment rose for the third consecutive month and is now nearly double that of the White jobless rate.
              • Deception (50%)
                The article is deceptive in several ways. Firstly, the title mentions 'Job Tremors' which implies that there are job losses or instability in the economy when in fact it talks about a blowout jobs report signaling continued economic growth. Secondly, the sentence 'A blowout jobs report signaled
                • even if that means the potential for still-elevated interest rates.
                • the US economy will continue to power Corporate America
              • Fallacies (85%)
                The article contains several fallacies. Firstly, the author uses an appeal to authority by stating that a blowout jobs report signaled the US economy will continue to power Corporate America even if that means still-elevated interest rates. This statement is not supported by any evidence and relies solely on the opinion of one source.
                • A blowout jobs report signaled the US economy will continue to power Corporate America even if that means still-elevated interest rates.
              • Bias (75%)
                The author uses language that dehumanizes the people affected by the earthquake. The phrase 'structurally damaged homes' implies that these are not just buildings but rather a reflection of their owners and families.
                • ]Photographer: Spencer Platt/Getty Images April 5, 2024 at 4:05 PM EDT Lock This article is for subscribers only.
                • Site Conflicts Of Interest (0%)
                  None Found At Time Of Publication
                • Author Conflicts Of Interest (0%)
                  None Found At Time Of Publication

                85%

                • Unique Points
                  • U.S. employers added 303,000 jobs in March on a seasonally adjusted basis.
                  • The unemployment rate fell to 3.8 percent from February.
                • Accuracy
                  No Contradictions at Time Of Publication
                • Deception (100%)
                  None Found At Time Of Publication
                • Fallacies (85%)
                  None Found At Time Of Publication
                • Bias (100%)
                  None Found At Time Of Publication
                • Site Conflicts Of Interest (50%)
                  None Found At Time Of Publication
                • Author Conflicts Of Interest (50%)
                  None Found At Time Of Publication

                82%

                • Unique Points
                  • , Powell said the surprising pickup in inflation in January and February hadn't fundamentally changed the Fed's picture of the economy: The central bank still expects inflation to continue to cool, though more gradually than it thought three months ago.
                  • , In new quarterly projections they issued, the policymakers forecast that stronger growth and inflation above their 2% target level would persist into next year.
                • Accuracy
                  No Contradictions at Time Of Publication
                • Deception (100%)
                  None Found At Time Of Publication
                • Fallacies (85%)
                  The article contains an appeal to authority fallacy by citing the Federal Reserve's projections and statements without providing any evidence or reasoning for their conclusions. The author also uses inflammatory rhetoric when stating that inflation has come down significantly, which could be seen as a form of emotional manipulation.
                  • The Fed still expects to cut its key interest rate three times in 2024
                  • Federal Reserve officials signaled Wednesday that they still expect to cut their benchmark rate three times in 2024, fueling a rally on Wall Street
                  • Inflation has come way down, and that gives us the ability to approach this question carefully and feel more confident that inflation is moving down sustainably
                • Bias (85%)
                  The article reports that the Federal Reserve still expects to cut its key interest rate three times in 2024 despite signs of elevated inflation at the start of the year. The author also mentions that there was a recent high inflation reading but it did not fundamentally change their picture of the economy, and they expect inflation to continue cooling gradually over time. This suggests bias towards maintaining low interest rates for economic growth even in light of rising prices.
                  • Federal Reserve still expects to cut its key interest rate three times in 2024
                    • The recent high inflation readings followed six months of steady slowdowns in price increases.
                    • Site Conflicts Of Interest (50%)
                      The Federal Reserve is owned by the US government and has a mandate to promote economic growth. The article reports on interest rates cuts made by the Fed in response to inflation concerns. However, it also quotes Jerome Powell saying that he believes supply-side economics will ultimately lead to higher interest rates.
                      • The Federal Reserve is owned by the US government and has a mandate to promote economic growth.
                      • Author Conflicts Of Interest (0%)
                        None Found At Time Of Publication